Targets of 35 TWh of renewable energy by 2035 and 45 TWh by 2050, plus 6 TWh of renewable winter electricity, of which 2 TWh hydropower
Roof-PV ramp up until 2035
Roof-PV ramp-up and hydro additions lower imports until 2035
Imports decrease, then increase
After 2035 imports rise as build-out slows and nuclear plants are decommissioned
7.5% increase in hydro
Hydro production is increased by 7.5% until 2050
Decomissioning end 2043
Nuclear plants run 60 years, decomissioning of Leibstadt in 2043
Energy Mix
Production
Demand
Production
2025
Total generation 72 TWh
2050
Total generation 83 TWh
Demand
2025
Total demand 63 TWh
2050
Total demand 80 TWh
The assumed electricity production and demand in 2050
Transition
The energy mix as we transition to 2050
Demand
Import
Import limit exceeded
Storage reserve used
PV
Wind
Hydro
Biomass
Gas
Geothermal
Nuclear
Fossil
2025Winter
TWh
Demand
35.6
Deficit
--
Import
3.4
Import limit exceeded
--
Storage reserve used
--
PV
2.4
PV Roof
2.2
PV Alpine
0.2
PV Ground
0
Wind
0.1
Hydro
15.4
Run-of-River
6.4
Storage
9.1
Biomass
1.3
Biomass
1.3
CCS Biomass
0
Gas
--
Market-Gas
0
Reserve gas power plants
0
Geothermal
0
Nuclear
12.2
Nuclear
12.2
New nuclear
0
Fossil
0.9
Existing fossil fuel power plants
0.9
CCS Fossil Fuels
0
Hard coal
0
Challenges
Import limits exceeded
The energy law limits our imports to 5 TWh. This will be exceeded in 2021 - 2050.
High Import Dependency post 2045
Rising import needs after nuclear decomissioning require neighbor surplus and EU agreement
Build-out speed solar
Build-out speed of solar until 2035 is more than double the pace of record year 2023. Hard to achieve
High summer surplus in 2030s
Summer surplus rises from 9 to 23 TWh in 2035. Unclear how much of it can be exported.
Additional costs possible
If summer surplus cannot be exported, related revenues will be lost and overall energy bill for Switzerland will rise
About the scenario developer
Energy Law ("Mantelerlass")
The Mantelerlass is Switzerland’s overarching energy law, which sets the framework for the country’s energy policy. It aims to promote energy efficiency, expand renewable energy, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions while ensuring a reliable energy supply.
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